01RB
Jeremiyah Love
Notre Dame
ARIGenerational talent. Best bet in the class - Top 4 Dynasty RB on day 1.
Base 73%·Adj 95%
78%+ hit rate
84%Composite
Jeremiyah LoveRB1.01
Carnell TateWR1.02
Fernando MendozaQB1.03
Jordyn TysonWR1.04
Makai LemonWR1.05
Jadarian PriceRB1.06
Kenyon SadiqTE1.07
KC ConcepcionWR1.08
Omar CooperWR1.09
Ty SimpsonQB1.10
Eli StowersTE1.11
Denzel BostonWR1.12
Jonah ColemanRB2.01
Chris BellWR2.02
Nicholas SingletonRB2.03
Antonio WilliamsWR2.04
Germie BernardWR2.05
Kaytron AllenRB2.06
Zachariah BranchWR2.07
Emmett JohnsonRB2.08
De'Zhaun StriblingWR2.09
Carson BeckQB2.10
Mike WashingtonRB2.11
Elijah SarrattWR2.12
Malachi FieldsWR3.01
Chris BrazzellWR3.02
Max KlareTE3.03
Skyler BellWR3.04
Ted HurstWR3.05
Ja'Kobi LaneWR3.06
Drew AllarQB3.07
Demond ClaiborneRB3.08
Eli RaridonTE3.09
Cade KlubnikQB3.10
Oscar DelpTE3.11
Kaelon BlackRB3.12
Garrett NussmeierQB4.01
Adam RandallRB4.02
Justin JolyTE4.03
Kevin ColemanWR4.04
Eli HeidenreichRB4.05
Brenen ThompsonWR4.06
Michael TriggTE4.07
Caleb DouglasWR4.08
Bryce LanceWR4.09
Taylen GreenQB4.10
Jack EndriesTE4.11
Le'Veon MossRB4.12
Jeremiyah LoveRB1.01
Carnell TateWR1.02
Fernando MendozaQB1.03
Jordyn TysonWR1.04
Makai LemonWR1.05
Jadarian PriceRB1.06
Kenyon SadiqTE1.07
KC ConcepcionWR1.08
Omar CooperWR1.09
Ty SimpsonQB1.10
Eli StowersTE1.11
Denzel BostonWR1.12
Jonah ColemanRB2.01
Chris BellWR2.02
Nicholas SingletonRB2.03
Antonio WilliamsWR2.04
Germie BernardWR2.05
Kaytron AllenRB2.06
Zachariah BranchWR2.07
Emmett JohnsonRB2.08
De'Zhaun StriblingWR2.09
Carson BeckQB2.10
Mike WashingtonRB2.11
Elijah SarrattWR2.12
Malachi FieldsWR3.01
Chris BrazzellWR3.02
Max KlareTE3.03
Skyler BellWR3.04
Ted HurstWR3.05
Ja'Kobi LaneWR3.06
Drew AllarQB3.07
Demond ClaiborneRB3.08
Eli RaridonTE3.09
Cade KlubnikQB3.10
Oscar DelpTE3.11
Kaelon BlackRB3.12
Garrett NussmeierQB4.01
Adam RandallRB4.02
Justin JolyTE4.03
Kevin ColemanWR4.04
Eli HeidenreichRB4.05
Brenen ThompsonWR4.06
Michael TriggTE4.07
Caleb DouglasWR4.08
Bryce LanceWR4.09
Taylen GreenQB4.10
Jack EndriesTE4.11
Le'Veon MossRB4.12
2026 SuperFlexUpdated Apr 26 · 2026
The 2026 rookie class, ranked by hit probability.
Every player carries a 50/50 composite of base rate (twelve years of SuperFlex ADP, by position and bucket) and adjusted rate (All-22 tape study). The composite is what you draft against — weighting locked, no slider.
The Board
Tier I and Tier II, all positions. The full filterable board lives at /board.
Showing top of boardTier I + Tier II preview
#
Player
Pos
School
ADP
Base
Adj
Comp
Hive Take
Result
I
Conviction
Tier I · 78%+ hit rate · 4 prospects
01
Jeremiyah Love
6'0" · 212 lbs
RB
Independent
1.01
73%
95%
84%
Generational talent. Best bet in the class - Top 4 Dynasty RB on day 1.
02
Fernando Mendoza
6'5" · 236 lbs
QB
Big Ten
1.03
68%
88%
78%
Football obsessed. High floor, moderate ceiling. Mid/Low End QB2 in Dynasty Y1.
03
Kenyon Sadiq
6'3" · 241 lbs
TE
Big Ten
1.07
80%
85%
83%
Small sample of TEs for this ADP range. Athletic specimen w/Vernon Davis type upside.
04
Eli Stowers
6'4" · 239 lbs
TE
SEC
1.11
80%
80%
80%
Another great athlete, arguably a better FOOTBALL PLAYER than Sadiq. But buried Y1 in Philly.
II
Strong Lean
Tier II · 55–77% hit rate · 7 prospects
01
Carnell Tate
6'2" · 192 lbs
WR
Big Ten
1.02
52%
80%
66%
Ward's long term WR1 + Top 5 NFL capital = Top 15-20 Dynasty WR. Safest WR bet in the class.
02
Jordyn Tyson
6'2" · 203 lbs
WR
Big 12
1.04
52%
80%
66%
Kellen Moore offense = fantasy friendly. The likely 1B to Olave's 1A. Top 25-30 WR in Dynasty.
03
Makai Lemon
5'11" · 192 lbs
WR
Big Ten
1.05
52%
75%
64%
Stud prospect. Questionable landing spot. Lots of mouths to feed in Philly, especially Y1…
04
Jadarian Price
5'11" · 203 lbs
RB
Independent
1.06
73%
80%
77%
Great landing spot + capital, but his ADP range would likely be late 1st in most classes (so base rate = misleading).
40 more players · Tiers III, IV, VSolid Starters, Committee, and Depth — full filters, sort controls, expanded HIVE Takes, and the methodology for every comp pool. The full board is where the argument actually lives.
View full board →The board
The top of the board.
Tier I, every position. The full filterable board lives at /board.
02QB
Fernando Mendoza
Indiana
LVFootball obsessed. High floor, moderate ceiling. Mid/Low End QB2 in Dynasty Y1.
Base 68%·Adj 88%
78%+ hit rate
78%Composite
03TE
Kenyon Sadiq
Oregon
NYJSmall sample of TEs for this ADP range. Athletic specimen w/Vernon Davis type upside.
Base 80%·Adj 85%
78%+ hit rate
83%Composite
02 · The Engine Room
Read the methodology. Explore the data.
/ Methodology
How a hit rate actually gets made.
Twelve years of SuperFlex rookie ADP, mapped against twelve years of dynasty production. A tape overlay applied to every active prospect. The two layers blend 50/50 into the headline number on the board.
12yrbase-rate window
n=412comp pool
5+All-22 per
Read the methodology →
/ Tools / Hit-Rate Explorer
Slice the same dataset, your way.
Plug in any historical ADP slot, position, or class year. See the 12-year hit/miss outcomes for that exact window. Same engine that powers the board — opinion-free, query-driven.
12yrqueryable history
4filter axes
openaccess
Explore the data →
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One email a week. The full 48-player board, Sunday night ADP shifts before Twitter, and an open thread for the room.
Full board · all five tiers
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2027 class projections
Pre-Twitter ADP shifts
“HIVE was a full round ahead of consensus on McMillan in February. That's the only reference I need.”— J. Reyes · 12-team SF league